Monday 25 November 2013

Gold Cup 2014 Depth Model: Update

Pre-Season Depth Model:



Update following the Betfair Chase:

Gold Cup

Elite
Bobs Worth
Silviniaco Conti
Cue Card

Elite with Exposed Limitations
Sir Des Champs
Long Run
First Lieutenant
--------------------------------------
Potentially Elite
Al Ferof
Dynaste
Lord Windermere/Invictus

A detailed review of the Betfair Chase itself to follow.
Cue Card is moved to occupy elite status for the Gold Cup as well as the Ryanair Chase. His final destination will likely depend in the first instance on his performance in the King George; in the second instance on the smoothness of his preparation for the Festival in the new year.

Dynaste remains 'Potentially Elite' as this was his first run in open company. It was an excellent run but he is now tasked with reproducing the same level on his next start. Al Ferof showed his wellbeing at Ascot and the King George will define his season.

Invictus is placed alongside Lord Windermere now that he has made the five-day declarations for the Hennessy. Both have strong chances in that race, as may have a couple of others.

Two of the three highlighted with "Limitations" have shown why they were poor long-term projects. Long Run has been beaten a total of 62 lengths on his first two starts this season; First Lieutenant has finished third and then a remote fourth, beaten 26L.


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